ICM Poll
CON 40(+1) LAB 22(-6) LD 25 (+5)
Whoa!!!
The first time this has happened since 1987.
Are we entering a new political epoch? Only time will tell.
ICM Poll
CON 40(+1) LAB 22(-6) LD 25 (+5)
Whoa!!!
The first time this has happened since 1987.
Are we entering a new political epoch? Only time will tell.
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No, it is not the first time since 1987; it’s the first time since 2004 when Populus put Labour in third place in September.
I was told that the 1987 poll just before the General Election of that year which put the SDP/Liberal Alliance in 2nd place ahead of Labour was conducted in Crockenhill, Kent, a village that had an SDP councillor (and has a Liberal one today).
The 2004 poll is generally accepted as a rogue poll. Only time will tell whether this one is too. Judging by Brown’s performance this morning I doubt it will be.
If the 1987 poll had a narrow sample, then it makes this poll all the more important.